Unit 8/9 help

Terdoo
Terdoo Registered Posts: 144 Dedicated contributor 🦉
A computer program has used a linear regression to analysis, using quarter number 30 is the first quarter of yr 2000) the sales trend has being detemine as
Sales Trend (in£) = (Quarter Number * £1200) + £83000
and here they have quarter 1, 2, 3, & 4, using the data calculate the forcast of sales in £s for each quarter 2003.

How do they know that quarter 2003 is 42 and the next quarter is 43? how do you calculate the quarter to come to this?

Could someone help with an explained answer please?

Thanks in advance

Comments

  • SandyHood
    SandyHood Registered, Moderator Posts: 2,034 mod
    Year/Quarter......2000/1...2000/2..2000/3.2000/4..2001/1......2002/1.....2003/1...2003/2..2003/3.2003/4
    Quarter No.............30.......31........32.......33........34..............38........42..........43.........44........45

    Sales
    Trend..............(30 x £1,200)
    ......................+ £83,000
    ....................£119,000
    Sandy
    sandy@sandyhood.com
    www.sandyhood.com
  • Terdoo
    Terdoo Registered Posts: 144 Dedicated contributor 🦉
    Re unit 8/9

    Thanks for the quick reply. Sandyhood, could you pls help with this,

    Average seasonal variation in turnover were:


    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    2005 -28 -3 -21 +53

    2006 -31 0 -22 +52

    Total -59 -3 -43 +10

    Average 29.5
    How do you calculate the average?
    thanks in advance
  • SandyHood
    SandyHood Registered, Moderator Posts: 2,034 mod
    59/2 = 29.5

    2 years worth of data, so add the two values together and divide by 2
    Sandy
    sandy@sandyhood.com
    www.sandyhood.com
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